
Twenty-five percent of American smartphone users already say they more frequently go online using their phone than on a desktop computer.
- International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide New Media Market Model.
Dubbed the Third Screen, the smartphone and it’s first cousin, the media tablet, is changing behavior around the world – although fastest in the U.S.
According to forecasts by the most recent International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Media Market Model (NMMM), Mobile Internet users are predicted to grow by a compounded annual growth (CAGR) rate of 16.6% between 2010 and 2015.
This means that by 2015 more Internet users in the U.S. will access the Internet through mobile than through PC’s and other wireline devices – (you know, that large screen and keyboard on your office desk that you can pretty much ignore because you’ve already responded to your emails, checked the stock market and checked into Facebook on your smartphone during the meeting you just exited.)
Correspondingly, with the increasing growth in smartphones and the explosion of media tablet adoption, the report predicts the number of people actually accessing the Internet through PCs will begin to stagnate and then slowly decline.
More predictions (and a few more initials) from the IDC NMMM:
- Global B2C ecommerce spending will grow from $708 billion in 2010 to $1,285 billion in 2015 at a CAGR of 12.7%.
- Worldwide online advertising will increase from $70 billion in 2010 to $138 billion in 2015, with its share of total advertising across all media growing from 11.9% to 17.8%
"Forget what we have taken for granted on how consumers use the Internet," said Karsten Weide, research vice president, Media and Entertainment. "Soon, more users will access the Web using mobile devices than using PCs, and it's going to make the Internet a very different place."
We agree. The Internet will look like a different place. But what does all this Amazing, Changing Third Screen live and look like in the real world today?
Sighting #1: Young family at an upscale, casual restaurant.
Dad and Mom are in their early 30’s, looking prosperous with a 5-year-old daughter happily engaged in coloring in her Disney-something book and their infant son swaddled in a sleekly designed baby-protecting contraption wedged into the chair and pushed up against the table. The waitress has taken the family’s order – everything seems normal. Until the waitress leaves and the scene shifts into Third Screen World– whichever it is.
It is no longer the “family out” tableau you would have seen way back in the good old days of 2010. It’s January 2012. Dad props up his iPad on the table and is checking football news. Mom whips out her smartphone, makes a call and is quickly miles away. She ends the call, checks in with her kids, checks in with her emails and then follows that up with an online check of refrigerator prices – then interrupts her husband’s iPad watching to show him on her smartphone where she had found a lower price on the refrigerator they wanted to buy. Then the waitress brought dinner – and it was a Wonderful Life again.
Sighting #2: Grandmom staying with daughter over the holidays.
While the Grandmom joined the family to watch the latest Netflix movie on the television, she never let her iPhone hit her lap or the table. She searched for and purchased a new lamp and two pairs of shoes – all at serious sale prices, then she texted her friends about it, checked the times for the Light Show she wanted to see the next evening, made reservations for dinner after the show. Then, she actually received a call on the phone – to which she responded that she would have to call the caller back later, since she was watching a movie with her grandchildren. Really Grandma?
Sighting #3?
Okay. It’s your turn.
Share with us interesting and fun and mockingly fascinating stories of how the Third Screen is changing your immediate world and the world around you.
Click here to read more from the IDC press release.